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Old 3rd October 2011, 11:11 PM
555 555 is offline
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2004 predictions

A choice of TLDs has thus far been unable to overcome the advantages the .com
TLD enjoys. It is debatable whether, and how, these advantages could be
overcome. One member of the non-commercial community believes it would be
hard, but not impossible to do so. He noted that during the three years it took
ICANN to introduce new TLDs, the price of a .com registration dropped and the
TLD attracted millions of new registrants. The costs for many of the millions of
registrants in .com to switch to a new gTLD are simply too high to happen. He
suggested that had gTLDs been created before ICANN was formed, during the
1996-1998 timeframe, the market might have had a chance to become more
balanced by now. But he believes that there is still demand for additional TLDs.
As others have done, he singled out one area with tremendous growth potential:
IDNs, he surmised, might stimulate the same demand as there has been for
.com.


http://www.icann.org/en/tlds/new-gtld-eval-31aug04.pdf
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Old 4th October 2011, 01:00 AM
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Re: 2004 predictions

that link to pdf did not seem to work...here is another

http://webcache.googleusercontent.co...04.pdf&ct=clnk
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