Greasing the skids for intervention in Syria

[bwhhisc]

A tragic situation and certainly going to get a lot worse. Lets hope the world does not sit idly by for much longer.

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/envoy/pe...183611313.html

[alpha]

Originally Posted by bwhhisc

Lets hope the world does not sit idly by for much longer.

a) have they got any oil?
b) have they got anything worth blowing up that lucrative rebuilding contracts can put back together paid for by (a) ?

[Rubber Duck]

Originally Posted by alpha

a) have they got any oil?
b) have they got anything worth blowing up that lucrative rebuilding contracts can put back together paid for by (a) ?

You old cynic.

The most potent rationale at this time would be to show Iran who is boss.

Difficult to know what to expect from a man that has promised so much and delivered so little in Election year.

[bwhhisc]

Originally Posted by alpha

a) have they got any oil?
b) have they got anything worth blowing up that lucrative rebuilding contracts can put back together paid for by (a) ?

Missing the old rules where you won the war and got the real estate in the deal. :p

[Avtal]

Originally Posted by alpha

a) have they got any oil?
b) have they got anything worth blowing up that lucrative rebuilding contracts can put back together paid for by (a) ?

Not sure that that explains our ten-year (and counting) adventure in Afghanistan.

A Western intervention in Syria would lack a UN mandate, and would seriously annoy Russia. (Russia might choose to express its annoyance by staging a "humanitarian intervention" in Georgia, which would not be good news for holders of Georgian IDNs).

Anyway, Sarkozy should probably take the lead. His re-election chances look worse than Obama's at this point, so he could use the pre-election bounce more.

Avtal

[sbe18]

British French expertise in this stuff expired with Sykes Picot in secret 95+ years ago.
And the general mess of African borders is a UK-French clusterfuck of the first order as well. eg Sudan ...Rhodesia/ Zimbabwe... decades of corruption and misery well played.

Syria is the political equivalent of the 7 to 10 bowling split .

Turkey needs to keep a Kurd control segment with Iraq.
Israel needs a Druze control element.
Saudis/ Jordanians want a Sunni protective element that does not repeat a Lebanon.
Iraq wants to prevent a Shiite slaughter.
Lebanon wants to avoid a mass conflag that re-ignites 1975.

The US and Nato are dusting off the Bosnia and Kosovo 3 ring binder.
But this time the Turks, Jordanians, and Egyptian armies get to wear nice light blue arm bands and berets.


Brits and Aussies get to sit this one out.... Gallipolli printed on staff maps will give them palsy.

Brits would prefer to play the Malvinas scenario on their Wii's and sip gin in their club chairs.

Letting the French figure out their Picot screw up one more time is more sporting.

[sbe18]

oh....forgot on the 7 to 10 split...

basically the CIA/ Army / Navy views a Syrian collapse as the start for Green spring/summer II in Iran.

[Jay]

Give it another 4 weeks before non-lethal aid turns to lethal aid for the opposition. Then it will be all on.