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Old 15th May 2012, 08:01 PM
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Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Forty-six percent of those polled say the social networking giant is likely to "fade away as new things come along," while 43 percent predict it will be "successful over the long term."
And with its long-awaited IPO drawing near, half of Americans also say Facebook's asking price is too high.

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/...071906795.html
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Old 15th May 2012, 08:04 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

It is not. Buy FB after the first week.
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Old 15th May 2012, 08:24 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Personally, I just want to be in cottage half way up a mountain were I almost never see anyone. Why the fuck would I need to be on Facebook!
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Old 15th May 2012, 08:25 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Originally Posted by Rubber Duck View Post
Personally, I just want to be in cottage half way up a mountain were I almost never see anyone.
Perfect place to use Facebook!
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Old 15th May 2012, 08:42 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Perfect place to use Facebook!
You sad little man.
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Old 15th May 2012, 09:08 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

i never figured out what facebook is good for.

Several years and i am still not understanding it.

Search engines like google changed the internet and added something to it. They are useful.

What has facebook really done?

Now i read that on average people spend most of their online time on FB.

There is so much interesting and useful content online and then people spend most of their online time on a site with no real content.
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Old 15th May 2012, 09:13 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Facebook is a passing fad, it will go the same way as MySpace and Friendster. Very risky investment IMO, need to jump out just as the stocks peek or you're going to be in for a bad time, because once they go down they're not going back up again.
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Old 15th May 2012, 09:20 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

it is not a real investment it more like a gamble because:

a) there is a lot of hype it is overvalued
b) no one knows in which directions things will go and no one can predict it

if one wants to gamble there are better stocks

Last edited by 123; 15th May 2012 at 09:20 PM..
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Old 15th May 2012, 09:39 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Let's save this thread for later and visit it in 5 years to check:

1. How much has FB grown
2. How much has the stock price valuated

Only real serious threat is the world collapse, and its not that far fetched.
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Old 16th May 2012, 12:14 AM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Quote:
Originally Posted by 123 View Post
i never figured out what facebook is good for.

Several years and i am still not understanding it.

Search engines like google changed the internet and added something to it. They are useful.

What has facebook really done?

Now i read that on average people spend most of their online time on FB.

There is so much interesting and useful content online and then people spend most of their online time on a site with no real content.
I think many people use it to hook up with old friends and classmates. Many others use it successfully for business to show case their work and projects. I have a associate who has built quite a successful wedding floral business with virtually 100% of her referals and leads coming from facebook. Another uses it to promote their events and entertainment at their pub for customers and provide certain specials etc.

Last edited by bwhhisc; 16th May 2012 at 12:15 AM..
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Old 16th May 2012, 12:35 AM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Pinterest or Instagram would have never existed without Facebook.
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Old 16th May 2012, 02:29 AM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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It is not. Buy FB after the first week.
i think you will be able to find lower entry point after a quarter or two. i think they have some short term challenge's. their high mobile growth rate which is harder to monetize because of reduced ad space. Facebook insiders lock-up lasts only 90 days. also Mark Zuckerberg will still have 57 percent voting rights in the company. not sure he will mesh well with the wallstreet guys short term. facebook Average CPM has increased by 15% from Q4 2011 to Q1 2012 so it looks to me they are kind of pumping the numbers prior to the ipo. and i just feel with all the hype they are bound to miss the forecast. also this below



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/faceb...#ixzz1uzmBWoME


Stocks sag on report GM is pulling Facebook ads
The Dow falls 63 after The Wall Street Journal says the automaker believes its Facebook ads don't add to sales. Crude oil falls under $94, undercutting gains for JPMorgan Chase. Growing Greek uncertainty weighs on investors.

http://money.msn.com/market-news/pos...8-d7e662a73ca1

but i think long term its a stock to own.
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Old 16th May 2012, 11:23 AM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Only real serious threat is the world collapse
I can see a lot of people burning more than their fingers here.

What most people fail to recognize is that much of the potential future growth is part of the current valuation already. That's why Facebook is valuated twice as much as Daimler while generating 2% of Daimler's revenue.

So the question isn't whether FB will grow. The question is whether they'll grow faster than everyone predicts.

Where is that growth supposed to come from? More users? That path will come to an end soon. Pretty much everyone who wants a facebook account has got one already. So it's more about monetizing the current user base. No doubt, having 1 billion people spending hours on you website sharing all their personal data is quite an asset. But monetizing their user base without pissing them off too much is quite a challenge as well.

They probably won't suddenly disappear. But they'll have a hard time meeting or even beating the current expectations. I'm not even sure stock picking is a strategy that should be recommended to average investors. But there's one thing I'm sure about: If everyone thinks this is a safe bet and a great investment it's usually a very speculative bet and a poor investment. If there's anything to learn from successful investors like Warren Buffet it's avoiding the hype and doing the opposite.
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Old 16th May 2012, 12:16 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Originally Posted by bumblebee man View Post
Pretty much everyone who wants a facebook account has got one already.
More to the point, a lot of people who don't want a Facebook account already have one.

I registered to put up the Wedding Photos. Before I figured it out, I lost interest.

Do I still have an account. Almost certainly.
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Old 16th May 2012, 03:13 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Originally Posted by bumblebee man View Post
Pretty much everyone who wants a facebook account has got one already.
So why do you invest on IDNs? I hear everyday in here people talking about the grow of Internet penetration on emerging economies.

Brazil added 9 million new Facebook users in the last 3 months.
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Old 16th May 2012, 03:52 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

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Originally Posted by jose View Post
So why do you invest on IDNs? I hear everyday in here people talking about the grow of Internet penetration on emerging economies.

Brazil added 9 million new Facebook users in the last 3 months.
Growing internet penetration in emerging markets is only one of many reasons for investing in IDNs.

I'm just saying that Facebook user growth can't go on like this forever. Actually it has slowed down already... not only in the US:

Quote:
But even in Asia, where a small share of the population of countries such as India, South Korea and Japan are Facebook users, the social network’s fourth-quarter growth was its weakest in six quarters.
http://www.dispatch.com/content/stor...er-growth.html

In China they are blocked anyway. In other countries there might be strong local competitors or simply less interest. Whatever the reasons may be it's already happening.
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Old 16th May 2012, 04:03 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

I'm proud to say I don't have a facebook or twitter account. I really don't see how people have the time to be honest, and besides its just for photo exchanging or stalking right - not sure I'm missing out on much.
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Old 16th May 2012, 04:06 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Graffiti Artist Who Took Shares Instead Of Cash For Painting Facebook’s First HQ 7 Years Ago To Make $200M In IPO



http://elitedaily.com/elite/2012/gra...ears-200m-ipo/

Last edited by chrisofmel; 16th May 2012 at 04:07 PM..
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Old 16th May 2012, 04:09 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Quote:
Originally Posted by alpha View Post
I'm proud to say I don't have a facebook or twitter account. I really don't see how people have the time to be honest, and besides its just for photo exchanging or stalking right - not sure I'm missing out on much.
Never understood why it abreviated to Tweet rather than TWIT.
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Old 16th May 2012, 04:48 PM
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Re: Half of Americans think Facebook is a passing fad

Internet is for porn?

Just like the Internet, Facebook is a tool to connect people, you can use it for whatever you want.

What amazes me is that the members in this forum, being so open minded on the IDN thing, which many still "don't get" are so close minded when it comes to Facebook.

Curious on your opinion on Instagram. How about Pinterest?
And do you use iOS or Android apps, besides the browser and email?

Why on earth do you think tech innovation stopped when you were 30 and everything that came after that is bullshit?

I know people on the 70's who don't use mobile phones. Ridiculous, right?
I know people on the 60's who don't use email. Ridiculous, right?
I know people on the 50's who don't use MSN. Ridiculous, right?
I know people on the 40's who don't use Facebook. Ridiculous, right?


They are all tools for us to communicate with each other. Get over it.
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Last edited by jose; 16th May 2012 at 04:49 PM..
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